A group of experts has published a short-term forecast on the future of AI. Their scenario predicts the arrival of artificial general intelligence within two years. An evolution that could turn the world upside down much faster than expected.
In recent years, progress in artificial intelligence has been dazzling. What was still science fiction in 2020 became accessible to the general public in just a few months. Tools like ChatGPT or Gemini now perform complex tasks previously reserved for humans. For many researchers, evolution is following an exponential curve, suggesting the imminent arrival of an AI capable of competing with us.
According to the scenario called AI 2027, developed According to a former OpenAI and Center for AI Policy researchers, artificial general intelligence (AGI) could emerge as early as 2027. This AI would be capable of performing almost all human cognitive tasks, demonstrating reasoning, creativity and autonomy. This prediction is in line with that of Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, who already stated in March that AGI could emerge in this same period. However, this development remains suspended several major technical challenges, including the GPU shortage, which is already slowing the progress of models like GPT-4.5.
AGI could disrupt the world of work and call into question our relationship with intelligence in 2 years
The arrival of AGI would have direct consequences on many sectors. Some experts, like Bill Gates, anticipate massive replacements in production, logistics, and agriculture. Others, like Sam Altman, are more nuanced, citing a "surprisingly low" social impact initially. The AI 2027 scenario, however, suggests broader risks, particularly if super-powerful intelligence emerges without perfect alignment with human values. Change could be as rapid as a smartphone replacement cycle.
However, AGI could also pave the way for spectacular advances. Some estimates suggest that medical or scientific discoveries could be accelerated by a century in a few years. To prepare for this, experts are calling for increased research on security. AI, to develop appropriate regulations, and to encourage human skills that are difficult to automate. Because, beyond technology, it is our own relationship with intelligence and autonomy that could completely change.
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